India
wakes to a Tibetan headache
By M K Bhadrakumar
DHARAMSALA, India - Within hours of the violence and vandalism
breaking out last Friday in Lhasa, capital of the Tibet Autonomous
Region of China, the township of Dharamsala, nestled against
the Indian Himalayas, was spruced up like an Old Dame anticipating
a shipload of boisterous sailors who just docked at the port
after months of seafaring.
The township is the seat of the Tibetan so-called "government-in-exile",
presided over by the Dalai Lama, the spiritual leader and
temporal head of the 8,000-strong Tibetan community living
here. (Dharamsala, also called "Little Lhasa", literally
means "Rest House" and was established in 1849 by
the British rulers of India as a garrison town.)
The Dalai Lama would have reason to be satisfied with the
attention he is receiving from the hordes of Western media
persons who have descended on Dharamsala in the past 24 hours.
He has become a revitalized cause celebre in the international
media ever since Lhasa erupted into violence. He scheduled
a special conference on Sunday afternoon, after the big sharks
of the Western media arrived. The occasion was pregnant with
possibilities. At the conference, the Dalai Lama launched
a tirade against the Chinese authorities. Most important,
he point-blank refused to make any appeal for calm in Tibet
in the worst unrest in Tibet for nearly two decades.
Protests spread from Tibet into three neighboring provinces
on Sunday as Tibetans continued to defy a Chinese government
crackdown. Angry demonstrations broke out in Tibetan communities
in Sichuan, Qinghai and Gansu provinces.
The Tibetan capital of Lhasa was tense on Monday ahead of
a midnight deadline for people who took part in the violent
anti-Chinese uprising to surrender or face severe punishment.
Tibetan officials say 16 people have died and dozens wounded
in the violence, although other estimates put the figure much
higher.
The Dalai Lama said, "The situation in Tibet has become
volatile, and only a miracle power can control it, not me."
He seems to realize this may well be his last waltz. The potential
for embarrassing China - and in particular, President Hu Jintao,
who once headed the Chinese Communist Party in Tibet - has
never been as great as in the runup to the Beijing Summer
Olympic Games in August. The Dalai Lama accused China of unleashing
a "cultural genocide" in Tibet and demanded an international
probe. But, he said, "We want genuine autonomy and not
independence [from China]."
Tibet has suddenly sailed into view. Violence has erupted
in Lhasa after a gap of two full decades. Such large-scale
violence was last witnessed in 1987. How much of the violence
on Friday was pre-planned or orchestrated from outside Tibet,
it is difficult to assess from Dharamsala. The Chinese authorities
have alleged that the "Dalai Lama clique" instigated
the violence. But one thing stands out.
The complete coordination with which the apparatus of the
Tibetan "government-in-exile" has sprung into high-quality
action on the political and propaganda front leaves little
doubt that it was at the very minimum anticipating Friday's
eruption. Tibetan activists here are more forthcoming. They
darkly hinted they were indeed expecting the disturbances.
But they refuse to elaborate how they knew or who their collaborators
were or what they did with what they knew.
Set against the Himalayan peaks which still wear a brooding
wintry look sprinkled with powdery snow, the Dalai Lama's
palace and its surroundings provide a stunning location for
a drama-filled political cause that mixes liberation theology
yet defaces communism.
A dozen handsome-looking Tibetan youth with flowing hair and
bold headbands spread the red Chinese national flags on the
streets of Dharamsala and trample on them with a couple of
Indian policemen silently watching. A shed has been erected
at the gates of the Dalai Lama's palace where a "relay
fast" is observed by Tibetan activists protesting against
China's governance of Tibet.
Western television cameras eagerly lap up the images for beaming
them to drawing rooms in Europe and North America. The Dalai
Lama's palace basks in the warm spring sunshine of Western
attention.
There is much excitement in the air in Dharamsala as the speaker
of the United States House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi,
is expected in this Himalayan hamlet on Tuesday. It seems
she is not having a stopover in Iraq and Afghanistan but is
heading straight for Dharamsala. Pelosi took the initiative
of arranging a Congressional medal for the Dalai Lama a few
months ago, which China robustly protested. Beijing warned
the George W Bush administration that such unfriendly acts
could cast shadows on US-China relations.
The Dalai Lama insisted at the press conference that Pelosi's
trip was long scheduled. He described her as an old friend.
But her visit nonetheless comes at an awkward time for India.
Delhi has adopted an attitude of "see no evil, hear no
evil". But it remains to be seen whether the Chinese
are impressed.
Actually, a delicate three-way diplomatic tango is likely
commencing - involving the US and China, with India providing
the turf - which can only turn out to be messy for India.
There is an old African saying that when elephants clash,
the grass gets crushed. China would see a pattern insofar
as steadily through recent months, sections of the Indian
corporate media, which have been traditionally known to serve
as mouthpieces of American regional policy, have been on overdrive
stirring up dust in India-China relations.
Influential voices in the Indian strategic community have
also jumped into the fray, including former diplomats who
served at the highest level in the Indian foreign policy establishment
and are close to the ruling Congress party. Their plea is
that Tibet is at the core of India's intractable border dispute
with China. They claim China is displaying the iron in its
soul by pressing its claims in the border dispute. According
to them, China is deliberately "provoking" India
because it is in no mood to settle the border dispute with
Delhi until Beijing has "subdued" Tibet on its terms.
They see the odds as heavily favoring China in its current
shadow boxing with India, whereas, Tibet is Delhi's only leverage.
At the same time, there has been a pro-US shift in Indian
foreign-policy orientations in general in recent years. The
present government has worked hard to harmonize its regional
policies with the US policy almost across the board. It has
left virtually no stone unturned - be it over Kosovo, the
Palestinian problem or Afghanistan.
From this perspective, the strong Indian reaction to the Lhasa
violence assumes significance. First, it is not clear whether
an Indian reaction was warranted on an issue which is patently
China's internal matter. The question is of diplomatic propriety
- and not the rights and wrongs of what took place in Lhasa.
Second, Delhi cannot adopt double standards. Delhi is not
going to be amused if any world capital makes it a point to
begin pronouncing on incidents of violence that rock India
from time to time. Delhi used to show irritation whenever
Pakistan took note of Hindu-Muslim violence in India.
The Indian Foreign Ministry expressed its "distress"
over the "unsettled situation and violence" in Lhasa.
It called on "all those involved" (meaning, Tibetan
agitators as well as Chinese authorities) to "improve
the situation and remove causes of such trouble in Tibet".
Without doubt, Delhi has chosen to be prescriptive on an internal
matter of China. But it can boomerang, even if it pleases
Washington in the present instance. Ironically, news just
trickled in that the 60-member Organization of Islamic Conference
(OIC) passed a resolution by consensus at its summit meeting
in Dakar, Senegal, on Friday expressing "concern about
the long-lingering, oldest unresolved dispute of Kashmir"
and underscoring the organization's support of the Kashmiri
people's right of self-determination.
The Indian Foreign Ministry promptly dismissed the OIC statement,
saying, "The OIC has no locus standi [standing] in matters
concerning India's internal affairs, including Jammu and Kashmir,
which is an integral part of India. We [Indian government]
strongly reject all such comments," the Indian Foreign
Ministry pointed out.
Of course, Delhi did the right thing. No government in Delhi
will countenance a dilution of India's sovereignty and territorial
integrity. Equally, the central issue is whether the Dharamsala
folks have a future. Indian strategists are exceedingly foolish
to pretend Delhi holds a "Tibet card". A visit to
Dharamsala will at once bring them face-to-face with the sobering
reality that the Tibetan community here faces disarray once
the 73-year-old Dalai Lama departs from the scene. He dominates
the landscape with his sheer physical presence.
While hundreds of Tibetan demonstrators marched in the town
center on Sunday, local Indians went on with their daily lives.
The Indians and the Tibetan Buddhists live in water-tight
compartments in Dharamsala. Even after 49 years, they hardly
intermix. The Indians complain that the relatively more affluent
Tibetan "refugees" are disdainful. This is especially
so among second-generation Tibetans who otherwise feel comfortable
with the Western nationals who throng to this exotic town
in the Himalayas for a variety of reasons.
The local Indians complain wealthy Tibetans are buying up
property at fancy prices. No matter what Indian strategists
in their ivory towers may write, Tibet is not a "popular"
issue among ordinary Indians. Therefore, there is a touch
of surreality about the whole situation. There is a "civilizational"
angle insofar as Indians are largely indifferent towards Buddhism.
Western nationals throng the Buddhist monasteries in Dharamsala
curious to know about Tibetan medicine, yoga, mysticism and
of course Buddhist philosophy. But there are hardly any Indians
to be seen in the monasteries except the odd tourist escaping
the heat of the Indian plains.
The sad reality of Indian history is that the country gave
birth to Buddhism, but in the name of "Hindu revivalism",
it subsequently decimated Buddhism and ruthlessly removed
all traces of it from the Indian cultural consciousness, though
Buddhism still remains the finest flower of the Indian civilization
in a philosophical sense.
It, therefore, becomes difficult for ordinary Indians to champion
the issue of Tibet. The issue needs to be "oxygenated"
in Indian opinion constantly, which is eventually bound to
become tedious. But that is looking ahead. For the present,
a lot of money is undoubtedly pouring into this little town
under the rubric of "donations".
M K Bhadrakumar served as a career diplomat in the Indian
Foreign Service for over 29 years, with postings including
India's ambassador to Uzbekistan (1995-1998) and to Turkey
(1998-2001).
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